ISW: Russia will change its target, stepping up its attack on Ukraine in the next few weeks

ISW: Russia will change its target, stepping up its attack on Ukraine in the next few weeks 0

(Dan Tri) – Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu announced that the country’s armed forces have increased their offensive campaign to disrupt the logistics activities of the Ukrainian army.

The war between Russia and Ukraine has entered its third year and is becoming more and more fierce (Illustration: Skynews)

The US-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believes that Russian forces will likely increase drone and missile attacks in the coming weeks to cause maximum damage to the country.

Defense analysts say Shoigu’s focus on Ukraine’s logistics attacks shows that Moscow forces may change their target mix to target transportation and logistics infrastructure.

The Russian military will likely increase offensive operations in the coming weeks to exploit the logistical limitations of Ukrainian forces before the enemy receives security support from the United States.

Mr. Shoigu’s focus on emphasizing offensive operations near Chasov Yar, west of Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk city further shows that Russia has the ability to increase attacks in these areas.

Moscow forces launched intensive attacks to destroy Ukrainian transport infrastructure in the Dnepropetrovsk region on April 19 and intend to repeat and expand similar attacks in the coming weeks.

Russian commanders may hope that a coordinated containment effort will limit Ukraine’s ability to fully deploy personnel and logistics along key sectors of the front and delay improved capabilities.

ISW: Russia will change its target, stepping up its attack on Ukraine in the next few weeks

War map of Ukraine on April 23.

Notable comments in ISW’s April 23 report:

First, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu spoke about Russia’s offensive operations near Chasov Yar, Avdiivka and Donetsk, and announced Russia’s intention to intensify the offensive campaign to weaken logistics operations

Second, Mr. Shoigu also discussed the military reform process in a speech to a Defense Ministry committee on April 23, disguising current expansion efforts as an information operation aimed at portraying

Tuesday, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council Ali Akbar Ahmadian visited St.

Fourth, the Chechen Republic seems to be trying to get closer to Iran as bilateral security cooperation between Russia and Iran strengthens.

On Thursday, April 23, British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced the provision of the largest military aid package in the country’s history worth about 662 million USD to Ukraine.

Friday, Moldovan authorities confiscated more than one million USD from Moldovan opposition politicians linked to the Kremlin at Chisinau airport on the night of April 22-23.

Saturday, Russian federal censorship agency Roskomnadzor blocked 150 virtual private network (VPN) services in Russia, another step by the Kremlin to further censor and control Russia’s information space.

Eighth, Ukraine’s UAV attacks and recent flooding in Russia reportedly caused Russia’s weekly oil refining output to fall to an 11-month low, despite a decline in refining volumes.

Ninth, Kiev forces have recently advanced near Chasov Yar (west of Bakhmut) while Russia has made advances near Donetsk.

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